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China: Economic Convalescence Accelerates
Much of Chinese convalescence process has been the direct result of its consumers, something which can be heeded by other flagging economies.
Despite the current debate being on the convalescence of the American economy, there's little to be disputed when it comes to China it's on the rise.
Chief China economist Frank Gong, who has forecast 7.8% growth for 2009, stated that: The economy is doing a lot better than the market expects. The risk is on the upside.
But Gong's predictions for 2010 are even brighter, with an expected growth rate of 9%. And if the rest of the world recovers from its economic slump in time, this figure could reach double-digits.
He's not the only one expressing the sentiment. Indeed, many other economists are agreeing, and the World Bank has set its own growth forecast for China as 7.2% this year. Likewise, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation & Development submitted its estimate of 7.7% for 2009 and 9% for 2010.
Although at a slower rate than once thought, China's exports are lessening. From a 21% decline to a 7% increase, many believe exports are on the rise again, which also indicates economic recovery in other parts of the world too.
Much of Chinese convalescence process, however, has been the direct result of its consumers. This is both a surprising and motivating fact, something which can be heeded by other flagging economies. The $586 billion economic stimulus package provided by the government has helped the situation steadily too as has the $1.3 trillion expansion in credit which started at beginning of 2009.
Altogether, China remains formidable in the midst of global doom and gloom.